2023 Commercial Vehicle Market Insights: A Balanced View of Demand and Supply

Jonathon Spitz
February 2, 2024
Introduction:

The commercial vehicle market in 2023 showcased remarkable resilience and adaptability, with Work Truck Solutions' Annual Market Analysis providing a comprehensive look at the trends shaping the sector. Despite fluctuating economic conditions, the demand for commercial vehicles remained stable, reflecting the essential role these vehicles play across industries.

Content: 1. New Vehicle Market Dynamics: The analysis highlighted a 6.5% year-over-year increase in average new vehicle prices, alongside a significant 87.4% rise in on-lot inventory per dealer. This growth suggests a robust recovery in vehicle availability, particularly for medium-duty vehicles, which now constitute over half of the on-lot mix. The increase in Days to Turn (DTT) indicates that while inventory has grown, the pace at which vehicles are sold has slightly slowed, a likely consequence of the increased supply.

2. Used Vehicle Market Adjustments: In contrast to new vehicles, the used commercial vehicle segment experienced a modest decrease in prices and inventory. Median mileage for used work trucks and vans rose, pointing to a market compensating for previous production disruptions. The decline in movement numbers in Q4 emphasizes a shifting preference towards new vehicles, despite the growing mileage of used ones.

3. The Alt-Fuel Vehicle Emergence: The report also touches on the nascent stage of the alternative fuel vehicle (AFV) transformation. Driven by net-zero regulations and mandates, the commercial vehicle market is at the forefront of adopting environmentally friendly solutions. As regulation-compliant vehicles become more prevalent at dealerships, the data concerning their adoption and usage by fleets will become increasingly vital for future market assessments.

4. Looking Ahead: The commercial vehicle market's trajectory into 2024 appears optimistic for new vehicle dealers, thanks to higher prices and expanded inventory levels. However, the used truck segment faces challenges, with decreased prices and shrinking inventory signaling a market adjustment. This dynamic underscores the importance of fleet managers and dealers staying informed and agile in their strategies.

How Can We Help:

In navigating the evolving commercial vehicle landscape, partnership with a knowledgeable fleet management provider like Alliance Leasing becomes invaluable. Whether you're expanding your fleet with new vehicles, considering the switch to alt-fuel options, or optimizing your existing assets, our expert team is here to guide you through every step. Contact Alliance Leasing today to explore how we can help you leverage these market insights for a more efficient and cost-effective fleet in 2024 and beyond.

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